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Latest figures reveal deaths greatly outstripping births in Scotland


By Gavin Musgrove

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The second lowest number of births on record since 1855 was recorded last year.
The second lowest number of births on record since 1855 was recorded last year.

A total of 47,786 live births were registered in 2021 – well below the number of deaths over the same period.

The figure was two per cent higher than the previous year but still the second lowest annual total births since records began in 1855.

The latest statistics released today by National Records of Scotland show that 63,587 deaths were registered last year, one per cent fewer than in 2020.

There were 10 per cent, or 5,827, excess deaths compared to the pre-pandemic five year average.

Last year also saw the highest infant death rate in ten years, with 3.9 infant deaths for every thousand live births increasing from last year’s rate of 3.1.

Julie Ramsay, NRS vital events statistician, said: “A total of 15,801 fewer births than deaths were registered in 2021.

"The difference between births and deaths is described as natural change and Scotland has been in a period of negative natural change – more deaths than births – since 2015.

“Whilst the 2021 death figures show a slight reduction on the year before, the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic are still evident.

“Births increased slightly but are still low in historical terms. The fertility rate increased slightly to 1.31 after falling to 1.29 last year, its lowest ever level. For a population to replace itself this figure needs to be around 2.1.”

There were just 11,831 marriages in 2020 compared to 26,007 in 2019, following restrictions on marriage ceremonies during the pandemic.

There were 24,284 marriages in 2021. This is more than double the number in the previous year but remains low in historic terms. There were 819 same-sex marriages.

A total of 499 civil partnerships were registered in 2021, the highest number since 2013.

Since June 2021, mixed-sex couples have been able to form a civil partnership. Some 411 mixed-sex couples and 88 same-sex couples formed a civil partnership during 2021.

All the latest figures for births deaths and marriages can be found here

National Records of Scotland is a non-ministerial department of the devolved Scottish Administration. It is responsible for producing statistics on Scotland’s population.


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